Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato
Larry Joseph Sabatois an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball, an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections...
Larry Sabato quotes about
attempt bad bush comeback democrats frequently great news party republican
We can always go too far, and frequently do. Is it a harbinger? Who knows. But it's unadulterated bad news for Bush and the Republican Party and great news for Democrats as they attempt to make a comeback in 2006.
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That's the great danger of the Republican candidates. If the president's popularity is low come November, there will be a substantial turnover and the Republicans will lose seats.
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Kerry's great advantage, despite what some people say, is that the threshold is low. People who have decided to vote against Bush are looking for an acceptable candidate, not another Abraham Lincoln or Franklin Delano Roosevelt.
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He has a great deal at risk. He is coming up for re-election in 2007. This is his last, best chance to recover.
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But his greatest problem is that it is hard to see him as offering voters anything other than George W. Bush's third term. And even Bush Republicans realize that the American people don't want that.
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The devastation is so great and the stories of the victims have united Americans in sympathy.
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I've probably seen 200-plus state polls over the past six months, and McCain is leading almost everywhere, and where he doesn't lead, Rudy Giuliani is ahead. All the other candidates are just footnotes.
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The sixth year of a two-term president's administration is typically an opportunity for voters to send a message. It's not going to be a pretty message for Bush, if his popularity stays this low.
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The Senate and the House are at loggerheads, and it would be virtually impossible for the leaders of those two houses to be close friends under those circumstances. It would lead to suspicions from their respective caucuses.
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Is it possible that he can come back? Sure. There have been some tremendous and significant rebounds in American history and this would be one of them.
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I sincerely believe he did try to talk Card out of it, he didn't want to accept this ... and I was told that by somebody who has some knowledge of it.
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Is he running purely because of personal ambition, or is he the head of a movement? ... We remember the heads of movements.
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Every American is going to be reminded in these hearings that every vote on the Supreme Court matters enormously. They tend to disagree with one another, they tend to factionalize, so each new justice has a major, really a tremendous impact on individual lives, on the exercise of our rights and our responsibilities.
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Every time we have a new videotape of bin Laden, it reminds people of the administration's argument that (Iraq) is connected to the war on terror, whether it really is or isn't.