Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato
Larry Joseph Sabatois an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball, an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections...
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There is nothing the Democratic leaders can do. It's the Democratic activists who are whining and complaining who could help themselves by shutting their mouths. They're distracting attention away from what the election will be and should be about - the president and Congress. They're just giving the press something to write about.
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Since Vietnam, the Democratic Party has been viewed as the weaker on national security issues. Who better to make the case than veterans of the war? It's hard to accuse them of a lack of patriotism.
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The Democratic base is as energized as I've ever known it to be. Bush is hated, and that's all the invective you need.
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If Warner doesn't find a strong candidate, he'll be held to account by national Democratic activists who vote in Iowa and New Hampshire.
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As far as others in his party are concerned, Simmons' district is highly competitive and in a strong Democratic year, it could easily be lost. ... These favors are done for Simmons simply to save the seat.
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It's a good thing for Richardson. What other presidential candidate in the Democratic Party would be called upon by an administration in a nonpartisan way to represent American interests in a dangerous place?
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This is red meat for Democratic activists. Many Democrats wonder if she can be elected in November 2008, so she has to keep the activist Democrats onboard. They're the ones who vote in the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries.
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Rarely do you have a governor who's already been U.N. ambassador and energy secretary as well as congressman. I mean he really does have a very rich resume. This just underlines it for Democratic primary and caucus voters,
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An actual takeover in either house is very difficult. It's possible, but it will take a Democratic wave, even a tsunami. Everything must come together for the Democrats to do this.
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The only thing we can be sure of is that the party that wins will exaggerate the results, and the party that loses will downplay the results.
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When people hear the word 'pardon,' they think back to Gerald Ford pardoning Nixon in September 1974. That decision alone cost Ford a four-year term as president. This is as big as it gets.
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Why risk his excellent relationship with the current and future junior senator of Nevada to score some points with a few party activists? He's being practical. Successful public people are always practical.
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Very worried, ... They really are in danger of losing a substantial number of seats in Congress and, more importantly, key governorships in 2006.
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At this point, nothing President Bush says is going to have much impact. The only thing that is going to change public opinion is an improvement in the situation on the ground in Iraq.