Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato
Larry Joseph Sabatois an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball, an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections...
both chance democrats gaining good houses months seats
Right now, more than 10 months before the mid-term election, Democrats have a good chance of gaining seats in both houses of Congress.
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Can he attract the 90-percenters? Or will they drift to someone else with a better chance of winning?
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He has a great deal at risk. He is coming up for re-election in 2007. This is his last, best chance to recover.
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Those are the conventions that matter, because they make it very difficult for that party's ticket. There is no surprise that Kerry did well, because nominees have a 99.9 percent chance of doing well at their convention.
instant mean
In another state, this could be devastating and could mean instant defeat. In New Jersey, it will take more than this.
political spread
It's spread pretty widely, at least in the political underground.
debate debates
This is Kaine's debate. It's Kaine's audience. It's probably Kaine's region, ... one of the most one-sided debates I've ever seen.
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The Congress reads the polls; they know that the president is not where he was once and they're on the ballot next November.
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I'm not sure $100 million could elect Katherine Harris. You can spend $100 million marketing dog food, but if the dogs won't eat, it isn't going to sell.
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I'll bet no one in New Jersey begrudges him that salary. Public officers ought to have set salaries that are sufficient for an average person to serve.
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I'll bet no one in New Jersey begrudges him that salary. Public office ought to have set salaries that are sufficient for an average person to serve.
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I've had literally dozens of governors, senators and several presidents (talk to classes), and no one, other than the presidents, has gotten a better reception or more sustained ovation from these young people.
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no longer the best of friends, if they ever were.
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It's very likely that Virginia will eventually adopt the two-term governorship. But it won't be in the next few years, as far as I can tell.