Ken Goldstein
Ken Goldstein
Ken Goldstein, also known as Kene G and Jack Dempsey, born June 1969, is an American film and television writer, producer, director and occasional actor. He is a co-founder of Planet illogica and CEO of The Six Shooter Company and the author of the book series, The Way of the Nerd. Goldstein is an active speaker at conferences and festivals, universities and private and public institutions. He has been a featured and Keynote speaker in Brazil, Australia, France and Germany...
consumer factors full jobs numbers reflect running waiting
There are a lot of factors here, but more than anything else, we haven't had a full jobs recovery, and the consumer is waiting for that. These numbers reflect they're kind of running out of patience.
business consumers factor picking rather run sales start
If all we've had is consumption, not business investment, there could be a self-fulfilling factor here, ... If consumers run out of patience, they start trimming sales a bit, and the economy, rather than picking up, may weaken a bit. Then the consumer says, 'See, I told you it was going to happen.'
adjust advertising budget bureau businesses conference decline decrease drops federal funds history holiday increases job labor last late modest months november offset online paid print reflects role running series short thanksgiving volume week weeks
Historically, job advertising drops off in the months of November and December. This online series does not have a long enough history to seasonally adjust the data. However, we know from The Conference Board's long running Help-Wanted Index for print ads, as well as the Federal Bureau of Labor Statistics' job vacancy index (JOLTS) that businesses typically decrease their recruitment in the last two months of the year. This seasonal November decline typically reflects the Thanksgiving holiday and a slowdown in recruitments after a seasonal upturn in the late summer/early fall. Year-end budget constraints may also play a role if funds are short for paid advertisements. Nationally, the downturn in new online ad volume the week before and the week of Thanksgiving more than offset the modest increases in the other weeks in November.
impact issue prove
To me, that could well prove a more important issue than the impact of Katrina,
economy economy-and-economics hiring might months remain setting slower soft
With slower hiring, and indications that hiring might remain soft in the months ahead, the economy could struggle, setting up a self-fulfilling prophecy.
buying less maybe people
What we are going to get is people grumbling about it -- maybe buying one less latte -- but they're not going to forego buying that new TV.
declines hiring might seeing small year
We might still be seeing some small declines in manufacturing overall, but even that's a mix. This year you'll see more hiring in nondurable manufacturing sectors such as in chemicals, in rubber, in plastics, in paper.
both caution hiring intentions investment level pricing profit reflect
Both investment and hiring intentions reflect a level of caution over both pricing and profit strategies.
appears demand economic economy economy-and-economics growth indicate industrial late leading poised rebound recovery slide strong though
The recovery in the leading index could indicate that the economy is poised for growth by late summer. There appears to be enough economic demand to end the slide in industrial production, though no strong rebound appears in sight.
I don't know where they are going to stop, and I don't know that they know.
points road
One of the things this points out is that we're on the road to recovery, but the road is going to be bumpy -- it always is.
although biggest board continued continues expansion federal fourth future immediate increases ongoing pace point prospect quarter reserve risk signals
Signals for the immediate future point to continued expansion, although not at the breakneck pace of the fourth quarter of 1999, ... The biggest risk to the ongoing expansion continues to be interest-rate increases and the prospect of still more Federal Reserve Board action.
confidence happen happens improving labor might terms until
Nothing is going to happen in terms of improving confidence until something happens in terms of an improving labor market, and that might well take until after New Year's.
conditions cut explain help interest rates rise severe weather
Severe weather conditions and uncertainty over interest rates may help explain why the rise in the indicators was cut short.