John Kilduff
John Kilduff
demand katrina supply taken
As much as Katrina has taken (the oil) supply off the table, there's also demand it has taken off the table.
coming cut demand helping keeps moderate near oil prices push reason signs weather
The moderate weather is really helping push prices lower, ... There are no signs that OPEC will cut back on output, which has jumped to near records. As long as the oil keeps coming and demand languishes, I see no reason for prices to rise.
believe boost colder demand dent disruption market obviously occur pressure supply turn
Apparently, the market does not believe a turn to colder temperatures will boost heating demand enough to make a significant dent in supplies. Obviously some other supply disruption may have to occur to take the pressure off prices.
demand discourage drivers helping high louisiana obviously partly parts prices road
Demand was down nationwide, partly because drivers were off the road in parts of Louisiana and Mississippi because of Katrina, and obviously because high prices are helping to discourage demand.
damage demand fears high hurting katrina oil prices
Demand destruction fears are trumping fears about damage to oil facilities. It's not just Katrina that is hurting demand. High prices have strained economies, especially in Asia, and demand is being curtailed as a result.
buying cover elsewhere four iraq market positions shut situation taking
There's pre-holiday buying taking place. In Iraq and elsewhere things are percolating. The market will be shut four days, and in this geopolitical situation it makes sense to cover positions and bets.
late selling wave
There was a late wave a selling at the end of the day.
directly driven path prices projected
Prices are going to be driven directly by the projected path of the storm,
amount few gasoline market next oil prevent products refined remain time
A significant amount of refined products will remain off the market for some time to come, and will prevent heating oil and gasoline stockpiles from being replenished, at least for the next few weeks,
dollars four gasoline high higher prices realm telling
There's no telling how high prices of gasoline prices could go, at least for a time. Four dollars or higher is not out of the realm of possibility.
bit downward range stuck
We're stuck in a little bit of a range right now ... we're still in a pronounced downward channel.
below break close july key looking near next term
We will be looking to see if we can get below $59.30, which is key support. In the near term $56.30 is the target. It's close to the July low and if we can break below that we will next be looking at the $46 area, which is the May low.
disappoint extent reports
To the extent that those reports disappoint us, you may see rebounds.
fear hanging nervous premium quite
It's the uncertainty on the storm's track. We're still quite a nervous market, and a substantial fear premium has already been priced in at this point, ... We're hanging on every report.