Jim Bianco
Jim Bianco
Jim Biancois a critically acclaimed independent musician, singer, songwriter and producer based in Los Angeles, California...
ProfessionFilm Producer
Date of Birth25 March 1976
bad last market seems stock turned
Everything seems to have turned bad for the stock market just in the last 18 hours.
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At some point, we will see the returns come back to bonds to compete with stocks. But it doesn't look like it's September or October of '97 for the moment. It looks like that's still a way's off.
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No one has a feel for where the bottom is. The bond market is in a holding pattern waiting to see what the stock market does.
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One thing to understand about interest rates is that they're bad in both directions. Having rates at an extreme low is bad. By encouraging them to go further, the Fed only makes it worse.
gm industrial production rebound strike
Now that the GM strike is over, we should see a big rebound in industrial production numbers.
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Now that yields are moving up, all these reasons have been shoved aside, and order in the universe has been restored.
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This week, the question is: Do we need a safe haven anymore, is the worst behind us?
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While the (producer-price) number is positive, one number cannot offset four months of strong numbers. If we get more weak numbers, we could push the idea of a Fed tightening away, but this one number won't do it. I think that the idea that the Fed is going to move is still very much on the table.
cannot fed four months move number numbers offset push strong weak
While the PPI number is positive, one number cannot offset four months of strong numbers. If we get more weak numbers ... we could push the idea of a Fed tightening away, but this one number won't do it. I think that the idea that the Fed is going to move is still very much on the table.
direction market moving opposite stock sync
It's all about the stock market right now. They are in sync with one another in that they're moving in the opposite direction from each other.
bonds element fall focus highs market percent risk stocks
It's not so much what bonds need to do. The focus is stocks and what that market does. Stocks need to re-introduce the element of risk and fall 10 percent off their highs to make bonds look good.
news
The news doesn't come much better than this.
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The volatility that we've had in the stock market is higher than we've been accustomed to over the past several months. We've now finally broken into the range where the moves are greater than 1 percent, but as long as they're not 2 percent or 3 percent, we're not in that range where you would start to call them extraordinary.
economy-and-economics stock
It's about the stock market, not about the economy.