Jeffrey Saut
Jeffrey Saut
coming earnings option
Earnings are coming in pretty much on target. We do have an option expiration so there is a lot of noise.
coming earnings
Earnings are coming in pretty much on target.
earnings handicap higher momentum premium risk
I don't know how to handicap terrorism, other than to say that I think the risk premium should be higher than it is. But I think I can predict, directionally, earnings and the momentum of the economy.
coming deflation earnings growth guidance keeps percent recession worried year
I'm not bearish. I don't think we're going into a recession and I'm not worried about deflation ... But earnings growth should only be about 7 to 8 percent this year and guidance for earnings keeps coming down.
assuming buy earnings recovery shaped stocks
If you think you can recklessly buy stocks you have to be assuming more than a V-shaped recovery in earnings -- you have to be assuming a hockey-stick shaped recovery.
assumption complacent earnings economy highs interest market mending momentum oil people prices rates record rising slowing terrorist
The market is not priced for oil prices at record highs and rising interest rates and slowing earnings momentum and terrorist worries. People are pretty complacent out there. The assumption is that the economy is mending and that this will be a robust, self-sustaining recovery.
bullish time
The time to be bullish was back in October.
boring investing
I've been investing in boring things, and boring has been pretty good.
beginning market tendency toward
Typically at the beginning of the year, there is a tendency toward reinvestment dollars, which should at least give the market a hint of an upward rise.
based conclusion interest investment market noise short stretch
There is a lot of noise in the short interest figures, ... It's a stretch to come to a market investment conclusion or even an inference based on short interest.
bull bunch core environment good hold markets money secular stocks takes trade
Yet you can make good money in that environment. It just takes a different strategy; you try to hold a core bunch of stocks you think are in secular bull markets and trade at inflection points.
clearly combined consumers gallon gas gasoline great natural number point three
Consumers are clearly being impacted by the three hurricanes, ... That, combined with natural gas and gasoline prices, is having an effect. I think $3 a gallon gasoline is the tipping point to a consumer that is under siege. But this number is really no great surprise.
concern continues fed future growth inflation labor viewing wage
The big concern is future inflation and the Fed is viewing that through the labor market. Wage growth continues to be muted.
among dedicated dedication investors short smarter tend
Dedicated short sellers tend to be among the smarter investors on the Street,