Jason Schenker

Jason Schenker
anticipate collapse concerns economy obviously rates type
Concerns about the economy have tipped the 10-year down. Obviously if rates rise, we should see some slowing, but we don't anticipate any type of collapse by any means.
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People waiting for rates to fall have been squeezed out of the market. We're not going to see housing sales plummet, but we will see sales moderate.
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The most disconcerting part of the PPI report today was the rate of final core producer price pressures in January.
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The month-over-month increase at 0.4 percent was the swiftest rate since January 2005. The implication is that core inflation may be rising.
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If it remains this close to 2 percent, then I think economically speaking, we're sitting pretty. I don't think this changes what the Fed does in May. I think another rate hike is likely then. But I think it stems the talk of rates rising as high as 5.25 percent, at least for now.
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Such a strong report by a financial institution has to help others in the same sector. Rates have been rising but gradually, which gives some banks opportunity to adjust.
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With gasoline futures at records a nationwide average of $3 at the pump is likely in the near-term.
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The service sector performed well, with new orders rising, prices declining and employment inching up.
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The stock market is reacting to the strong earnings reports we've seen earlier today. But sooner or later, companies may have to start passing through the increase in energy costs or be hurt by it.
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The sky isn't falling, just new non-defense aircraft orders.
appear inflation pressures
Is inflation dead? Not yet. If this moderating of inflationary pressures were to appear in the other reports, it could bode well for the economy.
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The worst possible outcome for the stock market is that it takes a month to decide the election,
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The saber-rattling on both sides of the table has led to some pricing in of risk, but it's quite conceivable we could see prices go back to $60, even the high $50s, if this dispute reaches a resolution or even a stalemate.
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Energy shares took a hit today as crude prices eased. The drag in energy shares, combined with end-of-year low volume, is bringing volatility to the stock markets.