Jason Schenker
Jason Schenker
crude decision fall given guarantees iranian next oil poised statements supply
Given OPEC's decision to keep quotas unchanged, Iranian guarantees of oil supply and U.S. statements excluding the possibility of oil sanctions, crude is poised to fall next week.
apply continues decline downward imports iranian manifest next notion petroleum prices relatively remains rise situation week
If the rise in imports and utilization manifest this week continues next week, it could apply some downward pressure. Of course, any decline in petroleum prices would be predicated on the notion that the Iranian geopolitical situation remains relatively quiet.
bigger higher iranian leads mean oil price prices problems uncharted
If this leads to the shut-off of Iranian oil, I think it would probably mean we've got bigger problems than the price of oil. But if we end up with a 1970s-style oil embargo, we could see prices go markedly higher into uncharted territory.
crack crude gasoline iranian spread
The crack spread of gasoline has collapsed, and only an escalation of Iranian tensions could buttress crude at this level.
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If we were able to reach a 'comfortable unease' on the Iranian situation, I think we'd see prices drop into the low $50s.
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You could still see some downward price moves if the Iranian situation just fades from view. If it fades from the headlines you could see oil prices move down several dollars.
appears iranian situation
The Iranian situation appears to be getting worse.
average gasoline likely pump records
With gasoline futures at records a nationwide average of $3 at the pump is likely in the near-term.
declining employment orders performed prices sector service
The service sector performed well, with new orders rising, prices declining and employment inching up.
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The stock market is reacting to the strong earnings reports we've seen earlier today. But sooner or later, companies may have to start passing through the increase in energy costs or be hurt by it.
aircraft defense sky
The sky isn't falling, just new non-defense aircraft orders.
appear inflation pressures
Is inflation dead? Not yet. If this moderating of inflationary pressures were to appear in the other reports, it could bode well for the economy.
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The worst possible outcome for the stock market is that it takes a month to decide the election,
both dispute high led prices pricing quite reaches resolution risk sides table
The saber-rattling on both sides of the table has led to some pricing in of risk, but it's quite conceivable we could see prices go back to $60, even the high $50s, if this dispute reaches a resolution or even a stalemate.