Hans Goetti
Hans Goetti
aversion equity goes major markets risk
If risk aversion goes up there could be profit-taking in the equity markets and that is a major risk.
carry emerging eventually expensive interest japanese likely markets rates reason reduced trades
Emerging markets have become expensive and we have reduced our exposure. One reason is that Japanese interest rates will eventually go. This will have implications because carry trades are likely to be unwound.
change economy foreign global increase india interest investors money premium rates risk tend unlikely view
There could be an increase in the risk premium if global interest rates rise. But foreign investors tend to invest their money in India because of a long-term view on the economy and this is unlikely to change suddenly.
cross pulled
Once you cross such a psychological mark, you will get pulled back. That is natural.
In Asia, if the US is doing well, exporters will do well.
clearly favorable further hikes momentum rate sure
The near-term momentum is clearly favorable to the dollar. Two further rate hikes are a pretty sure thing.