Fadel Gheit
Fadel Gheit
created empty foot higher iraq measures moving necessary panic plenty prepared prices reading situation stops threats
We created a panic situation by reading too much into the empty threats, and when these threats started moving prices higher in anticipation, then the U.S. put its foot down and said even if Iraq stops world export, we are prepared to take all the necessary measures to make sure there is plenty of supply.
change changes demand oil perception president prices situation speeches supply talk trying underlying
Also, the president is making speeches trying to talk oil prices down and say the situation is better, but talk won't change the underlying fundamentals. Demand is still strong, supply is still tight. So even if perception changes for a bit, the situation is no different.
charged headlines situation
You put all these headlines together, you see the situation is getting charged up and getting out of control.
bad capacity events hurricane offset situation spare stretched
There isn't enough spare refining capacity around to offset these unpredictable events, ... We were stretched before the hurricane; the hurricane made a bad situation worse.
becomes charge consumers cost economic higher hit increased oil prices recovery situation stifle
Higher oil prices stifle economic growth. There becomes a situation where manufacturers will have to charge consumers more for the increased cost of fuel. The economic recovery right now is very tentative and it can't be hit with higher oil prices.
bad hurricane situation
The infrastructure was already strained before the hurricane. The hurricane has made a bad situation worse.
crude gasoline high hope hopes lower might people prices reflection
We might see some reflection on crude prices as well as gasoline prices going forward, but not by much. I hope that people do not have high hopes for much lower crude prices or gasoline prices, because that is not in the cards.
higher reflecting stocks support
These stocks are not reflecting $50 or $60 oil. They are probably reflecting $40 oil. But this is not realistic. The fundamentals support a higher price.
emotion field playing
The speculators are going to have a field day playing with emotion and rumor.
dependence economic hit inflation less oil
Our economic dependence on oil is much less than it was even 10 years ago. If inflation comes, it won't be as big a hit as it was in the '80s.
exceeded production terms volume year
Operationally they exceeded expectations in terms of production; their production volume was up significantly from year ago.
bring oil prices suddenly weaker
We could suddenly have oversupply and weaker demand, and that will probably bring oil prices down on their own,
cold event market tight
We could see the market getting tight in the event that we have a really cold winter.
cut delicate drive oil prices production releasing subject tinker until
We could say we were releasing oil to drive prices down until they get to $25 a barrel, ... Then OPEC could say it'll cut production to keep prices up. It's a very delicate subject to tinker with.