Donald Selkin
Donald Selkin
buyers classic couple days definition few lower people rally selling strong
I'm encouraged. You get a strong rally for a few days, a couple of days of selling so people can take some profits, then new buyers come in at the lower level. That's the classic definition of an uptrend.
demand lower oil president prices relation says supply
This thing with the oil is nutty. Even the president of OPEC says prices should be $10 to $15 lower than they are. It has very little relation to the supply and demand statistics.
behind curve disconnect economy fed leading lower months people positive rates seems seen starting stock supposed talking
Normally, lower rates would be seen as a positive for stocks, but in this case, it seems like the Fed is behind the curve and the Fed is supposed to be leading us out of this. For months people have been talking about the disconnect between the economy and stock prices. Now it's starting to seem like that disconnect is narrowing.
areas dollar gold hanging high lower money people putting stocks taking
Gold is at a high and the dollar weakened again. As a result, you would think stocks would be a lot lower today, with people putting money into those areas and taking money out of stocks, but they're not that bad. We're kind of just drifting. The Dow has its own company-specific problems, but the Nasdaq is hanging in there.
earnings guess headed ibm lower rally toward turn
The IBM earnings were good, but is this enough to turn things around?. I guess the futures could rally overnight, but as it stands, we're headed toward a lower open.
bear few grin maybe next november optimistic run
I'm maybe more optimistic for the end of the year, but for the next few weeks, I think we are still in these treacherous waters. We're just going to have to grin and bear it, and then maybe we'll see a run up in November and December.
completed extent fed justifies rally reaction stunned
It's such a knee-jerk reaction. I don't think that what the Fed said justifies the kind of reaction we saw. I would like to think that we could rally back after the certification is completed tomorrow, but I don't know. I am just stunned by the extent of this decline. Hopefully, it was a one-time reaction.
bad earnings
Earnings have come in not as bad as the expectations.
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The big hurdles next week are the Fed meeting Tuesday and the jobs report Friday. The market reaction to those events may set the tone for the month and determine whether we'll see a November rally.
mean relief tremendous
There's tremendous relief after all the selling, and statistically, we have some verification that this could be a bottom. But that doesn't mean we're going to see another day like this. There's still tremendous negativity.
felt low maybe news people rally rates seeing seemed sure
I'm not so sure that the rally was commensurate with the news out of the Fed. They seemed to say that they're going to keep rates low for a long time, which wasn't a surprise, but maybe people felt better seeing it spelled out more clearly.
bounce concerning consistent days early guess lift next seem selling
I guess after all this selling you could see an oversold bounce next week, and some up days here and there in early February. What's concerning is that there doesn't seem to be anything to lift us on a more consistent basis.
individual market stocks
Individual stocks can go up, but the market is too overbought internally and there is too much complacency for a rally.
bullish excuse fed happiness happy lines markets maybe might people statement stay
I'm happy that things are going up in the markets but when things get too bullish and too, I don't know if they're exuberant, but too optimistic, someone will find something between the lines on the Fed statement saying, 'but they said this, they cautioned here', maybe to have to be vigilant, so people might use that as an excuse to stay profits.