David Thurtell
David Thurtell
amount french hurricane looks production remains season strikes
It looks encouraging that some of the French strikes are ending, but the hurricane season is not over yet and a significant amount of U.S. production remains shut.
available cleaner delayed fuels impact last lowest output season seen supplies work
We're at the lowest available output I've seen in maintenance season for some years. There's a cleaner fuels impact and then other work was delayed after last year's hurricanes when supplies were short.
asian below bit buying demand ease goes hurricane likely november oil runs season though woods
Oil could ease back a bit today, though the hurricane season runs into November so we're not out of the woods yet. Asian demand is still pretty strong, so we're likely to see some buying if it goes much below $60.
demand gone peak prices season winter
In my view, prices had probably gone down too far, especially with peak demand winter season looming.
bit cold driving easily hit lull peak period push season snap suddenly summer winter
All we need is a bit of a cold snap and suddenly it could easily push back up. We're still in that lull period where the summer driving season is over but we haven't hit peak winter demand.
chances forming goes hurricane season till woods
The hurricane season goes on till the end of November, so we're not out of the woods yet. But at least the chances of another hurricane forming are getting narrower and narrower.
extremely numbers short stocks watch
The stocks numbers are extremely bearish. You wouldn't want to be short though. You've just got to watch what's going on with Iran.
deal demand hemisphere northern prices rebound worry
The worry is that if prices come off a bit, demand will rebound and we've still got to deal with the Northern Hemisphere winter.
colder looks prices provided range send sixties
Provided we don't get any disruptions to supply, it looks like prices could have short-term weakness. But if we get a much colder winter, it could send prices into the sixties range again.
gone market oil paint scenario worst wrong
Everything's gone wrong in the oil market recently. If you wanted to paint the worst scenario picture, you couldn't do much better.
disruption longer parts supply worry
There's just been too much disruption to too many parts of the whole supply chain. There's a worry that it's going to take longer to get things back.
further prevent price rises
(That's) the only thing that will prevent further significant price rises from here.
calmed literally release reserves strategic weathered
Literally and figuratively, I think we've weathered the storm, as the release of strategic reserves has calmed the market.
few gulf next prices production unlikely
Gulf production is really struggling. It's very unlikely that prices are going to come significantly under $60 in the next few months.