Brian McInerney
Brian McInerney
ability cyclical forecast neutral ways
All the indicators are neutral right now, so our ability to forecast long-range is weak. But there are ways to look at it. If we look at this from a cyclical standpoint, we may be in a wetter pattern.
case continue major rain scenario second warm weather week wet worst
The worst case scenario is if we continue to have cool, wet weather but then warm up dramatically in the second week of May or have a major rain event.
above august close cooler degrees feeling final half july june less looking mean normal pattern september shifted similar year
June was much cooler and wetter than normal. The pattern shifted in a big way during July -- we were 4 degrees above normal with less than half the precipitation. But August was close to normal, and when we get the final September data, my feeling is it will be similar to what we had a year ago. So again, that could mean a wetter year with more runoff. But again, that's only if you're looking at trends.
flooding last valley year
Last year we did have flooding in Cache Valley and Brigham City.
areas east happen month mountain normal percent
Some areas east of Cedar Mountain are about 110 percent of normal now. To have that happen in one month is pretty abnormal.
flood good water
It will be good for water supply, but it will also exacerbate the flood threat.
peak running snow
We're running out of snow for the watershed. This will probably be the peak they see this year, but there's no guarantee.
flood mostly moved watch
We do have a flood watch out because of a possibility of rain, but that rainfall has mostly moved on. We may end it early.
benefit both concluded decided discussed heard locker move needed situation timing voice
They discussed the situation and both concluded that the timing of the move is to the benefit of the team. They decided another voice needed to be heard in the locker room.
above cause dump event flood full larger managers near question quite rain trying
They are quite full and near capacity. The flood managers are trying to dump some of the water. The question is, if we have a larger rain event above these reservoirs, we could have a flood downstream that could cause damage.
allow force general rule thumb walk water
I think it's a general rule of thumb ? the force of the water will not allow you to walk through if it is over your knees.
dictated flood pack snow threat
Right now our flood threat is ... dictated by what kind of snow pack is in the mountains.
month pivotal shakes time
This is kind of a pivotal time for us. We'll have to see how the month shakes out.
areas caught dangerous die draining narrow people places throughout volume water year
If you get caught in these with the volume of water draining down, they're so narrow there's no way you can get out. People die in these areas throughout the year - they're dangerous places with the rainfall that we're having.