Bill Gross
Bill Gross
William Hunt "Bill" Grossis an American financial manager and author. He co-founded Pacific Investment Management. Gross also ran PIMCO's $270.0 billion Total Return Fund. Gross left Pimco to join Janus on September 26, 2014...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionEntrepreneur
Date of Birth13 April 1944
CountryUnited States of America
economy economy-and-economics opposed percent time
What it suggests this time is a 2 percent economy in 2006, as opposed to a recession.
economy economy-and-economics slower telling
It is telling us that we have a slower economy ahead.
world finance economy
Imperceptibly, the developed world's manufacturing base was gradually eroding and being replaced by securitized finance that destroyed itself and nearly its economies in 2008.
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We're beginning to see some signs that the economy is starting to weaken in the second half of 1998, ... We're going to see 1 to 2 percent growth. If we see those numbers, then we can move down even lower below 5 1/2 percent on the long bond.
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thoughtful, secular approach to the chairmanship, focused on the long-term evolution of the U.S. and the global economy.
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As long as the stock market does what it does, and keeps going up, the wealth effect is going to transmit into a fairly strong U.S. economy and preclude the Fed from easing rates,
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At some point down the road, in a dynamic economy such as the U.S., we should be returning to a more normal shape. That means ultimately short rates and the front end of the curve will trade at lower yields than long rates.
economy economy-and-economics
I think ... that the economy is declining,
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If the economy slows down, if housing moves back down, then at some point late in 2006 the Fed starts to lower rates. That's why a 10-year note yield at 4.55 percent is a decent value as opposed to overvalued.
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By the time 10-year and 2-year Treasuries reach parity, as is almost the case now, the economy is typically slowing and the Fed is at or near the end of its tightening cycle, ... We are due for what appears to be a 2 percent or less Gross Domestic Product growth rate in 2006, a rate sure to stop the Fed and to induce eventual ease at some point later in the year.
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The Fed knows that the economy is in terrible shape and that they must bring down short-term rates to the level of inflation. If inflation keeps coming down, the Fed, to a certain extent, has to chase inflation.
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Is it any wonder that in the space of the last six months we have had headline speeches promoting the dangers of deflation only to be followed by fears of accelerating inflation?
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Even our attorney in Valley City is a volunteer.
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Either way, ... we pay the price: higher import costs, a cutback in spending on cheap foreign goods, rising inflation, perhaps chaotic financial markets, a lower standard of living.