Anthony Crescenzi
Anthony Crescenzi
difficult fed funds further higher lower market somewhat step trade
Right now we have to take a step back and say how much further can we go with this news. Where fed funds are now, at 6.5 percent, makes it somewhat difficult for the (bond) market to trade higher or lower in yield.
attention economy economy-and-economics fed inflation pay point slowing
Even if the economy slows, there will still be inflation, ... But there comes a point when the Fed won't pay attention to inflation because of a slowing economy.
adopt aggressive concern employment fed gains historical interest late modest numbers remain seen stance today
The numbers today allay any concern that the Fed may adopt a more aggressive stance on interest rates. The employment gains we've seen of late remain modest by historical standards.
course cut fed might rates rumors
There were rumors that the Fed might cut rates today, but of course they did nothing.
basis both cut discount fed percent points rate
The Fed will probably cut the both the Fed-Funds rate and the discount rate by 25 basis points tomorrow, to 5.25 percent and 4.75 percent, respectively.
additional causing create drop economy fed further higher hold interest pose raising rates remains risk stimulus vigor
The Fed will look at a cross-section of data, which still show that enough vigor in the economy remains to pose a risk for higher inflation, ... If the Fed were to hold off on raising rates on Tuesday, they would create additional stimulus for the economy by causing a further drop in other interest rates.
accurate align fed hopefully inflation itself needs strong trend unless view
The Fed needs to align itself with the inflation expectations of the market, unless it has a strong -- and hopefully accurate -- view about how the inflation trend is evolving.
admitted cause fed greenspan market might news past reactions response sending signals sudden volatility
The Fed doesn't want sudden market reactions in response to news that might be difficult; they want to cause as little volatility as possible, ... Greenspan has admitted to sending signals in the past -- it's the way they operate.
acting behavior fed resolve
The market's applauding the resolve of the Fed and acting accordingly, ... In that way, its behavior is rational.
depends loses maybe neighbor
What's the expression? 'If your neighbor loses his job, it's a recession, but if you lose your job, it's a depression?' Maybe it depends on who's making the definition.
consumer mistake
It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now. It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years.
consumer mistake mistakes
It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now, ... It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years.
ended raised
It was very well subscribed -- and that was why they raised it and it ended up being $4.8 billion.
beginning bond calling since toward year yield
I've been calling for the bond yield since the beginning of the year to get toward 6 percent,