Alan Gayle
Alan Gayle
continued exports gap growth high improvement level picking rest sign strong trade welcome
The improvement in the trade gap is always welcome but the continued high level is always a concern. Strong exports (are) a confirming sign that growth is picking up in the rest of the world.
activity business continued economy fed generally good helping looking strength support
The idea of the Fed at least pausing is helping to support the market. We're looking at the economy as having continued fundamental strength going forward, and we're looking at generally good business activity numbers.
higher surprised
I am surprised we did not see higher demand.
adverse consumer energy growth impact job prices rising slowing
You can't have this kind of slowing in job growth coupled with rising energy prices and not see some adverse impact on consumer spending.
consumer continue debate fuel holiday report spending strong
A report like this will continue to fuel the debate about how strong consumer spending will be over the holiday season.
coming consistent economy energy expansion far issue likely months number rising shocks slower
The issue for 2006 will be momentum. So far the expansion has been able to withstand shocks such as rising energy prices. A slower ISM number is consistent with an economy likely to slow over the coming months and quarters.
economic pointed remain sound underlying
The underlying economic fundamentals remain sound as has been pointed out by the Fed.
deficits dollar interest ongoing source twin volatility
In general, the twin deficits (trade and federal) will be an ongoing source of volatility in the dollar and interest rates.